hrich8439

variance talk is overthinking it. the real question is whether the promo even counts bonus buys.

yeah six sessions isn't much, variation does that. i've had stretches where the dealer just won't bust and then it flips, that's all it is.

that accept button is a trap

non cashable spins are the trick, that's not a bonus

i’m patient early, but i still open playable hands in position before antes. offsuit hands can turn into a headache at 100bb, so i’d rather stick with suited connectors and pocket pairs.

the open one is always american too

the commentary thing is real, they call the fight five seconds after the line already moved

what clicked for me was using 10 spins on each side, then doing the same around random non-zero hits, and a few of the "nice" shapes got real flimsy fast. i'd still want 200 or 300 zero spots at least, because two zeros landing near each other can make the nearby run look way louder than it is, but this is more interesting to me than just tracking a dry spell

check ordinary spins with the same rules too, zero feels special because we notice it. set sectors, repeats or color balance beforehand so you're not fitting it after the zero. i'm not sold on it having its own before and after pattern, though the same shape recurring under fixed rules seems worth a closer look

wouldn't start changing things over this one. sounds like ordinary variance if it really was a gutshot, four outs is about 9% with one card left. doesn't sound like a reason to stop betting the flop and turn, though i'd want the board and sizes before calling it perfect. with enough behind, maybe 70-80% pot on the turn makes him pay more, but you're not getting every bad call to fold in live 1/2 or 2/5. the numbers don't make watching that river any less irritating. good play pays over more hands, not necessarily this hand or even your last hundred.