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Bet365 odds drift?

odds drifting way out right before kickoff makes some sense if there’s fresh news, like injuries or the lineups shifting last minute. but today i watched a few matches where the odds drifted bigtime even though nothing came up in the news feeds, not even whispers on the betting socials. sharp money sometimes hits hard just before the game and pushes the market, but it felt random today.

on roulette tables i always try to spot patterns, but this drift thing - especially with no obvious trigger - just feels off. maybe there's some backend algorithm at play, or maybe traders are just over-adjusting. is anyone else tracking these drifts? do you ever bet into them, or do you see it as a trap?

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10 comments
N
1,1702 replies

Blackjack taught me this sooo fast: late drift is usually sharp money.

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L
341

sharp money gets blamed for everything on here, sometimes it's just books shading risk before bet confirmation gets slammed. totally different thing from online casinos where the backend is fixed and the max payout tells you more than the "action" does!!!

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N
9,220

Sharp money gets way too much credit lol, sometimes they're just juicing the vig late.

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N
9,5966 replies

"betting socials" lol alright 😒

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C
1,2835 replies

late drift aint socials its limits moving

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L
8363 replies

Limits moving, then traders shade it again. I don't bet into that mess, half the time it smells like a trap.

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C
10,127

not always a trap, just bad bonuses!!!

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S
9,358

"smells like a trap" is exactly how bet365 forced bonuses felt to me.

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G
378

Limits moving ain't the whole thing though, I've watched bet365 yank a market, reopen worse, then drift again with nothing new, that's not me being mystical it's just how they manage their own mess. Same bad brain as roulette, guys see a pattern and chase it, I flat bet or leave it alone

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