Why do I always get the WORST odds right before kickoff??
noticed a pattern with the lines shifting right before a game, sometimes literally minutes before kickoff. every time i get my bet in, the odds always seem to get worse for what i want, like the value dries up just as i confirm. i log my picks and review the closing lines, and it feels like i’m consistently on the bad side of the moves.
i know sharp money can hit late, but i don’t have any high-roller info feeds or anything. sometimes i’ll wait thinking i can get a better price, but it backfires more often than not. i started wondering if anyone else tracks their timing closely, or if it just comes down to luck and maybe the book algorithms reacting to last-minute action. i don’t mind losing, i just hate feeling like i’m always one step behind.