I swear I only lose when I bet on my own team… anyone else?
Every time I decide to finally back my own team, they just absolutely bottle it. Like, I can pick a random fixture I barely care about, study the stats, and sometimes walk away with a win. But the moment I get that gut feeling and toss some money at my team, it's a loss. Maybe it's jinxing it, or maybe my bias is clouding my judgment on the actual odds. I end up justifying picks because I want to root for them and then ignore the data.
It gets in my head too, because I track most of my bets and my ROI nosedives on the ones involving my team. Makes me second-guess every wager now. Wondering if that's just me being unlucky or if it's a common thing.
Do you guys avoid betting on your own teams, or just accept it as part of the fun even if it tanks your numbers?
Bias aside, I use the same flat stake for my team as any random match to keep my ROI honest, and treat those bets as sunk costs on my spreadsheet. Have you noticed your average odds on team bets are usually lower than your neutral ones, or just the results?