Why do the bets I overthink always lose?
Last week I spent 20 or 30 minutes going over a bet, had four stats angles in my head, then talked myself off the straight -110 side and took +145. It lost by a point. The quick plays have been better for me lately, which is annoying! What should I stop doing when I start picking apart every angle? Can I just trust the simpler read if the price is still decent?
1
the overthinking is the bet at that point.
4 angles on a coin flip is just you talking yourself into a worse price