Over/Under
Since saturday I started to bet only over/under, choosing the odds on average to be higher than 2.
Bet only on top 5 leagues, Portugal and Eredivisie.
The results impressed me, 68% (34 out of 50 bets) and i will continue the track.
For today i selected the following bets
1. Man. City vs Crystal Palace → Total under 3.5, @ 2.10
2. Espanyol vs Athletic Bilbao → Total over 2.5, @ 2.25
3. Villarreal vs Sevilla → Total over 2.5, @ 1.84
4. Getafe vs Mallorca → Total over 2.5, @ 2.77
5. Alavés vs Barcelona → Total over 3.5, @ 2.54
Solid run so far. The logic of sticking with over/under in big leagues is sound, since stats are tighter and freak outcomes less common. Still, variance will catch up eventually.
In poker, you can go on heaters but table discipline always wins long term. If you haven't set a weekly stop loss, I'd lock that in now before variance tests your nerve. Are you tracking average odds over time or just number of wins? That detail changes the real story.
Bankroll discipline makes a huge difference with these runs, reminds me of chasing the zero game in roulette and waiting for the right spin. Have you set a weekly stop loss or are you just riding the streak?
You reached the end