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just learned basic strategy and somehow doing worse 😭 is that normal

Thought I was being smart finally picking up the basic blackjack strategy chart but I swear, since sticking to it, my sessions are way rougher than when I was playing just by gut. Wasn’t expecting to be up all the time or anything but this is just streaks of hands going south, like constantly breaking 16 against the dealer’s face cards and never seeming to catch any lucky runs.

I mostly play live dealer online and stick to pretty steady bet sizing. Even double checked myself, made sure I was actually following the chart right, but variance seems extra cruel lately. Wondering if it just takes time for the math to play out or if I’m missing something obvious.

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Discussion — 6 comments

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6 comments
469•

my slots luck tanks right after a cold streak at blackjack too, maybe your brain’s just primed to notice the rough patches

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1,006•

those rough stretches can feel endless, but patience is underrated here. live dealer games can hit pockets where the cards just run ice cold, so riding out the statistical chop is part of the grind.

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849•

variance hits harder when your decisions feel “correct,” but over just one or two shoes, the swings can look brutal. tracking a couple hundred hands before judging pays off way more than chasing each session’s streaks.

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870•

totally normal, swings feel sharper once you’re invested in “doing it right,” especially with live dealer where session length can magnify cold runs. stick with it, but have you looked at your overall hand count yet to see if you’re really on a true downswing or just early noise?

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1,116•

sticking to basic strategy cuts the house edge, but cold streaks feel sharper since random pain stands out more when you know the odds are correct. on crypto casinos, tracking actual session results (not gut feelings) is key or your memory just amplifies the worst swings.

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589•

Totally normal, the swings feel nastier because basic strategy just makes the math less painful long term, not luckier short term. Ever tried mixing in late surrender if your table allows it?

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