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does anyone actually make money betting on futures

I keep seeing all these posts about people hitting huge futures and it makes me wonder if that's just survivor bias or if there are folks actually making a profit long-term on these bets. I get the appeal with promos or early odds, but it seems like the edge disappears super fast. I’ve tried mixing in a few with my regular plays, mostly out of FOMO, but honestly haven’t seen much success - especially factoring in how long your bankroll is tied up.

My gut says most of the big wins we see are just that, a big one-off. Anyone here track their futures action over multiple seasons and actually end up in the black? Or am I just overthinking the whole angle?

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11 comments
D
8,358•

You're not overthinking it. Futures mostly just park your money for ages for one pretty payout, same as Crypto Casinos.

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J
337••4 replies

nah, you're not overthinking it, you're underweighting the hold. i tracked nfl division futures and the implied probability was bloated every damn season, like a bad casino bonus dressed up nice.

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B
890••1 reply

the part that gets me is crypto casinos trained ppl to stare at shiny numbers and ignore the math so futures feel normal when theyre just padded to hell. i had a season handicap future once and the cashout screen was pure clown bait

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A
509•

Cashout screens are where people lose their brain, the juice was bad before that stupid button even lights up 🙂

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A
798•

nfl division futures are just poker rake in a tie rn

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H
886•

Yeah lol I tracked mine, the thing that cooked me wasnt even the ticket, it was me lying to myself. Had a finals future and kept treating the cashout screen like a win, same dumb crap i did messing with Live Dealer after a hot spin lmao. If i grade only settled bets, futures look way worse than they felt. I’d rather bet BTTS and move on, just cleaner in my own sheet

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C
3,443••2 replies

I tracked mine two seasons. Futures were dead money. Props treated me better.

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B
413•

Bankroll getting frozen for months is the killer. Anytime scorer props felt way cleaner to me 😏

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M
416•

Two seasons is nothing lol I buried more on roulette

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L
1,151•

fomo futures same as bad blackjack

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