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can you actually prove a sportsbook calculated odds incorrectly

Came across a line today that seemed wildly off, to the point where I thought it might be a genuine mistake and not just market movement. Kinda got me thinking - if you actually spot a spot like this, is there any real way to prove the odds were set incorrectly and not just chalk it up to "juice" or late-breaking news? Sometimes I worry I’m seeing patterns that aren’t really there, but also don’t want to get burned if a book just refuses the bet later and calls it a palpable error.

Has anyone actually gone through the process of challenging a line on the grounds of miscalculation? Curious how you’d even start making that argument.

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8 comments
M
1213 replies

If the odds were way off compared to every other sportsbook, I'd take screenshots before the line disappears. At least you'd have a record of what was offered.

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P
568

screenshots and timestamp it, books love the palpable error dodge. same as slots when it glitches sooo nothing to prove

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D
1,180

screenshots yeah, but grab the promo/house rules too lol i missed that once, got cooked

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O
491

Maybe, but books hide behind palpable error. I had a poker line voided once and yeah, still a little bitter about it

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P
3162 replies

Yeah nah, if an online casino/sportsbook wants to call it a palpable error after the fact, you’re basically arguing with drywall lol. I had an esports total sit as accepted for 14 hours, then get voided with some canned T&C quote. That’s the whole game. If a line is like 25+ cents weird, I assume they’ll protect themselves, not me 😒

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K
347

The thing people miss is “wrong” and “stale” are different beasts. In Live Dealer land the wheel can be right there on camera and the backend STILL decides what counted haha, same with lines, if your betting history shows you keep smacking stale feeds, they’ll call it error and keep walking

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T
864

14 hours is CRAZY. Had a blackjack mispay sit pending half a day once, same canned garbage after that

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