Had a couple books limit me right after a few arb plays this week (nothing wild), so what do people see now in 2026, is arbing still worth doing or just asking for limits, cheers
Still possible, but at regular books it's the pattern that gets you limited, not the profit: only stale lines, odd stake amounts, nothing else on the account. Put one leg on an exchange, which charges commission instead of limiting winners, and treat the soft book account as having a limited lifespan. Rounded stakes and some normal bets mixed in keep it alive longer.
What's the exchange commission eating though, last time i priced it the arb was gone
How many normal bets we talking though, actual mug punting or just tiny ones to look busy?
I doubt a handful of tiny bets changes much, even 10-20 at $25-50 (rough guess) could look like cover if the rest are arbs, books can still see the pattern there.
The tell is putting the same round stake on both sides within a minute. Normal punters don't do that.
Yeah, still possible but the limit comes at you quick now. A few plays and your account's flagged, so I don't see anyone running it as a steady setup anymore.
I don't think chasing soft-book arbs is worth it. 1.5% on a $200 stake is three dollars, and if the price shifts before the second leg gets accepted, that little edge can be gone.
Had a couple books limit me after only a few plays this week, so risking the account for that kind of return doesn't look great. Maybe it works when both legs go through clean, but that’s a lot of hassle for three bucks.
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the account lifespan thing is real, i had one last 3 weeks then gone. rounding stakes didnt buy me anything