Closing line value, the only stat that matters or overrated grinder talk?
hey everyone,
I keep hearing closing line value talked about like it's the only number that means anything, and I'm getting tired of people acting like every bet is either genius or trash based on where it closes.
I get why it matters. If I bet -3 and it closes -4.5, that's better than chasing the worse number. Nobody needs that explained. But some people talk like if you're beating close you're automatically doing everything right, even when the ticket still keeps dying on you week after week.
What annoys me is how this turns into grinder talk real fast. A guy can go 3-9 and still tell you he's crushing because he got CLV. At some point money has to matter more than a screenshot of a line move. I'm betting to win, not to collect proof I was early.
And books aren't even all moving the same way all the time. One place hangs a bad number, another one moves on air, and then everyone pretends the close is some perfect final exam score. It isn't that clean.
I've had plenty where I got the best of it and lost, and plenty where I took a bad number and still cashed. I know one bet proves nothing, but people act like CLV wipes out every other part of handicapping, matchup read, injuries, timing, all of it.
Anyone know where you draw the line between CLV being useful and CLV being the only thing people lean on because it sounds sharp?
I use it, I track it, I just don't buy that it's the only stat that matters unless you're trying to win an argument instead of money
Still gotta cash the ticket, lol.